Washington assesses the risks of Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan

(Washington) A possible visit by the US Speaker of the House of Representatives to Taiwan worries the Joe Biden administration, which fears that this trip will exceed the limits that Beijing is prepared to endure.

Posted at 5:02 PM

Sean Tandon
France media agency

On Monday, China warned through a State Department spokesperson that it was “prepared” to respond to such a visit from Nancy Pelosi next month, stressing that the United States would “be responsible for all the serious consequences” that would ensue.

Unusually, Mr. Biden himself indicated last week that the US military believed that Mr. Biden’s visitI Pelosi, the leader of the House of Representatives and one of the highest ranking figures in the US state, “wasn’t a good idea.”

The US government fears that China will not differentiate between the state’s legislative branch and the executive branch, especially since Beijing sees Washington’s growing support for Taiwan backing a formal declaration of independence from the island, which China claims as part of its territory.

The controversy is not welcome for Joe Biden, who could speak to his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in the coming days. It also comes as Mr. Xi, China’s most powerful leader in decades, prepares to consolidate his power at a Communist Party congress later this year.

MI Pelosi has not confirmed if she will make the trip, but said she believes it is “important for us to show support for Taiwan.”

The island democracy enjoys wide support in Congress and Beijing’s threats have only led to calls for MI Pelosi to keep his flight.

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“the master.I “Pelosi goes to Taiwan and President Biden makes it clear to President Xi that the Chinese Communist Party can do absolutely nothing to stop him,” Republican Senator Ben Sassi said.

The US government, which regards China as its main competitor on the international stage, often points to the need to put in place “safeguards” to prevent differences between the two countries from descending into an uncontrollable conflict.

The heads of Chinese and American diplomacy, Wang Yi and Anthony Blinken, met in early July in Bali to try to facilitate relations between the two superpowers.

Risk of a ‘stunned’ reaction

George Washington University’s Robert Sutter said Joe Biden has “a real problem, because if he backs out, if he tries to dissuade Nancy Pelosi from going, he’s going to look weak, under Chinese pressure.”

US elected officials’ visits to Taiwan so far have elicited various reactions from China “but with this visit, it may be serious,” this expert adds. Chinese leaders “may think they have to do something amazing if Pelosi actually arrives in Taipei,” especially before the Communist Party convention.

visit from m.I Pelosi won’t be the first. Republican Newt Gingrich visited Taiwan in 1997 when he was Speaker of the House of Representatives. Beijing’s reaction at the time was relatively mild.

Nancy Pelosi has been an outspoken critic of the Beijing regime for years. She befriended the Dalai Lama and in 1991, during a visit to Beijing, alarmed her Chinese hosts by raising a banner in Tiananmen Square in memory of pro-democracy protesters killed there two years earlier.

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American strategy to rethink?

In the face of the rise of Beijing, the United States is increasingly supporting and more open Taiwan. Thus, Joe Biden asserted in May that the United States would intervene militarily to support the island in the event of an invasion by communist China. Then he came back.

The United States has recognized the Chinese regime since 1979, according to the “one China” principle, with Beijing as its capital. They do not officially recognize Taiwan, while supporting the island militarily.

During a visit to Taipei in March, former US diplomat for Donald Trump, Mike Pompeo, called on the United States to recognize Taiwan as a “free and sovereign country,” stressing it was “a recognition of an undoubted and already existing reality.”

But for former US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, speaking at a conference in Aspen, Colorado, the “one China” principle has helped contain tensions with Beijing for decades.

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