Many are of the opinion that Lebanon is not currently at the top of the new US administration’s priorities, which leaves France to do in this area, the visit of David Haley’s Undersecretary for Policy, which is scheduled for the week, to shed more light on U.S. commitment to the Lebanese document in principle. According to the first filtered information, the visit of the senior US official will visit several Arab capitals, which should mark the end of a mission launched in 2018. The ambassador has actually established the final assessment of the situation in Lebanon and the region, and must submit his report to the US administration before withdrawing the route for his successor. Mr. Wendy Sherman is approached to replace Hale. Counted in the camp of progressives for her key role in negotiations with Tehran on nuclear energy during Barack Obama’s command, she was nicknamed “Ms. Iran” by the French media for her art of negotiation. Ms Sherman, who served as Under-Secretary of State for the first time between 2011 and 2015, is awaiting confirmation of her appointment by the Senate.
Waltz of Angels
Meanwhile, David Hale, who was well acquainted with the Lebanese document as ambassador to Beirut between 2013 and 2015, will have to pave the way for his successor after exploring the possibility of redemption with his local speakers, while Lebanon is mired in a very severe economic crisis. If the schedule and schedule of official meetings are not yet released, the US ambassador plans to meet with political leaders and opposition figures on March 14 to inquire on the ground. On the agenda of the subjects he particularly wants to explore during his official talks is the delimitation of maritime borders with Israel and an overview of the situation in southern Lebanon, but the push of economic and financial problems in the country.
According to informed sources, Mr. Hale, until then, has been a staunch supporter of the French initiative, not the bearer of new ideas to get Lebanon out of the dangerous cycle in which it is trapped. “But he is open to listening to the parties and considering possible alternatives,” said a senior member of the opposition.
David Halein’s visit comes just days after the arrival of Egyptian Foreign Minister Same Chowdhury and Deputy Secretary-General of the Arab League, Hossein Jackie. Without success. Given the size of the current blockade and the severe polarity that follows it, some analysts expect David Haley’s tour to make a real breakthrough. “The waltz of ambassadors and diplomats continues, visiting Chad Hariri (Prime Minister-designate) in the region and soon visiting the Vatican is futile and futile, while Lebanon is in disarray,” one Lebanese political leader commented. Eight months after Hussein Diaz’s cabinet resigned, the formation of a new cabinet is still hampered by a tense standoff between Michael Aun and Chad Hariri.
In a comment shared on social media, Paul Salem, president of the Middle East Institute of the United States (MEI), spoke yesterday about his vision for a new U.S. approach in light of Lebanon’s latest developments. According to him, there is currently “the beginning of renewed interest on the part of the United States in Lebanon, due to a US perception that the country’s total collapse is almost inevitable and that the military will constantly increase its awareness.”
Washington fears that the growing instability in Lebanon will expose the country to the re-emergence of radical Sunni groups such as Dash and Al Qaeda in the future, which in turn could lead to Hezbollah’s total congestion on the country. The situation is equally dangerous for Europe, which fears large numbers of Syrian and Palestinian refugees coming to its borders.
On the one hand, the close coordination between the foreign ministry and Europe and the Gulf states, or the “synchronization of operations” is another important factor, and on the other hand, Ziat Sayek, an expert on public policy, underscores Lebanon. So the revival of American diplomacy would have been inevitable, while Lebanon is in a turbulent moment and everything could sink into chaos. Paul Washington understands that if Washington is willing to do anything in Lebanon, it is an economic recovery operation at the forefront of its concerns for now. The political phase itself, i.e. the change in the figures of the current ruling class, will come under the deadline to be explored in 2022, which is the best of the election year. Next year in Lebanon will generally be marked by municipal, legislative and presidential elections.
While no one expects miracles, David Haley’s visit to the region could at least give a taste of US policy in the Middle East, especially Lebanon. Probably in the Middle Ages.
“These are two separate camps that need to be identified within the US administration,” said Hassan Minimne, a researcher at the same Middle East Institute. First, there is President Joe Biden’s new committee, which is concerned about stability in Lebanon, and therefore in favor of compromise. Besides, she was in no hurry. People like David Haley, who has a lot of experience in the local arena sinocytes, are convinced that we are in a hurry and should not wait any longer, every missed opportunity is one step further down the aisle. “
There is a lot of speculation that Lebanon is not currently at the top of the new US administration’s priorities, which leaves France to do in this area, and the visit of David Haley’s Undersecretary for Policy is expected this week to shed more light on the commitment to policy …