The rise can accelerate in cases

New cases of COVID-19 doubled within a week in Quebec and will continue to increase, according to experts who expect the fourth wave to arrive as the school year approaches.

“If there is no change in people’s behavior and they are not vaccinated, there is no reason for the number of cases to drop, says D . analysisNS Gaston de Serres, an epidemiologist at the National Institute of Public Safety in Quebec. On the contrary, it will continue to rise and even accelerate. “

As of Monday, Quebec had recorded 154 cases of coronavirus in the past 24 hours. This is more than double what it was a week ago.

Autumn, the beginning of the school year and the development of the infectious delta variant will create favorable conditions for virus transmission, according to DNS De Serres, although 68% of Quebecers aged 12 and over have received two doses of the vaccine.

“It is worrying because the number of cases detected today is higher than last year on this date,” said epidemiologist Nima Mashouf. On the other hand, we have half the number of hospitalized cases. “

Public Health Canada noted an increase in cases across the country on Saturday and projected a fourth wave scenario with more than 10,000 daily cases in September.

“There is still a high percentage of people who have been vaccinated, but we are dealing with a type that is more transmissible and causes severe symptoms in a greater percentage,” explained virologist Benoit Barbeau. It’s the balancing game we’re playing right now. We don’t know how far it can explode. “

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Dr. said.NS from Ceres. What doesn’t progress well are those who come in for their first dose. “

15% of the population is in a gray area [d’hésitation à se faire vacciner]said Carl Weiss, a microbiologist and infectious disease specialist at the Jewish General Hospital in Montreal. Battle area will be 15%. “

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