History of the United States since the beginning of the twentieth centuryH The century hardly featured the presence of third parties or independent candidates. Too few of Theodore Roosevelt, Ross Perot, or Ralph Nader to split the two major party votes.
On the other hand, Democrats and Republicans regularly make sure to restore and consolidate movements or factions that allow them to expand their constituents. It doesn’t always go smoothly and without splits.
The Republican Party is paying a heavy bill
If the Democrats struggle to stay together and have an annoying habit of washing their dirty streak with the family, it is currently the Republicans who reveal their internal differences in the public arena.
You may remember the surrealist circus of electing Kevin McCarthy as Chamber President. Surprisingly united since this infamous episode, seven or eight of the craziest candidates these days appear threatening to oppose an agreement to raise the debt ceiling.
While Chief McCarthy defends the settlement by claiming, with good reason, that he forced the President to negotiate, the Rebel Eight wish to derail the process. They went so far as to threaten to suggest a vote to clamp down on McCarthy!
Speaker will survive this crisis and there is a good chance that enough moderate Democrats will back their fellow Republicans for the deal to survive the House vote. However, the party’s image has been tarnished as we rapidly approach an election year.
Among Democrats, there is great solidarity with the more progressives being allowed to express their disagreement. Even if he has little experience in his position as Democratic minority leader, Hakeem Jeffries acts like a worthy successor to Nancy Pelosi.
Can you imagine a scenario of a House of Representatives with a majority of Republicans voting in favor of the agreement, but due to strong Democratic support? Then we will look at Joe Biden as a good strategist!
The path of the cross leads to the Senate
I hope the Convention will overcome the first impasse, which is the chamber problem, but to avoid the first default the Senate must also agree.
On this side, Joe Biden and Mitch McConnell, two veterans who sat in the Senate at the same time, aren’t their first collaboration (they joined forces in 2011). For days, McConnell has been very reticent, but he knows better than anyone that the time to win is drawing near.
Again, slingshots can come from the most extreme elements. Some have already promised to extend the period of discussions, thus prolonging the context of uncertainty while challenging their leader.
Will McConnell be able to force a five-to-ten hand (rough goal) before the June 5th deadline? The next few days will be full of action!
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