Predicting Congress infrastructure vote, half success on the horizon for Biden

The House of Representatives was scheduled to vote Friday night on a broad plan for US infrastructure investments, which, if passed, would provide partial success for Joe Biden.

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The Democratic president has been struggling for months to pass two ambitious plans, one involving $1.2 trillion in spending to renovate American roads and bridges and the Internet, and a second to fundamentally reform the United States’ social protection system and invest in fighting global warming. This second component amounts to 1750 billion.

If the House passes the infrastructure program Friday night, Democrats will provide the furniture after they had to delay a vote on the social spending bill until mid-November.

“I urge all members to vote (…) for tonight’s final passage of the Bipartisan Infrastructure Act,” Joe Biden said in a statement. He also said he was confident that the Social Component Law would be approved “in the week of November 15th”.

The US House of Representatives met in the morning with a clear goal: the final ratification of these two plans for a total of $3 trillion in expenditures that promise to transform America.

The very large social component, in particular, provides nurseries for all, a profound improvement in health coverage and major investments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions – a profound redefinition of the welfare state in the United States.

But this project is the subject of very difficult negotiations within the Democratic Party, especially between the left and the moderate camp.

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“the challenge”

Throughout the day, Democratic House Speaker Nancy Pelosi tried to organize her forces, rallying support for the president’s plans.

“The platform we are putting forward is innovative and historic and that’s what makes it challenging,” she said in a letter to Democrats, as if to explain these internal differences between the party’s elected officials.

But last-minute negotiations – in which moderate elected officials demand a specific cost for these expenditures – ended up paralyzing the process and forcing leaders in Congress to delay holding a vote again.

For its part, the massive infrastructure investment project has already been approved in the Senate in mid-August, with the support of elected officials from both parties. After it has passed through the Council, it must be ratified by the President of the Republic only before it comes into force.

Joe Biden, facing waning popularity and weakened by a resounding defeat in a local election in Virginia this week, desperately needs that success.

But the progressive wing of the Democratic Party has repeatedly warned that it will not support this text without ensuring the passage of the social and climate component of Joe Biden. That is why a procedural vote, the first step in the parliamentary process, has been scheduled for Friday evening on this text.

in the hands of mansion

Biden’s trips to the Capitol, breakfasts with elected officials… The White House is doing its best to win over.

Because the US CEO says it over and over again: The president’s spending programs are very popular among Americans, according to polls. However, the Democrats will call in a year to play with a slim majority in Congress during the parliamentary midterm elections, which is always risky for incumbent presidents.

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But Joe Biden, who was praised for his negotiating skills during the presidential campaign for his long career as a senator, is bogged down in these internal disagreements.

The president has not finished his sentence.

If he gets the go-ahead from elected officials in the Senate after mid-November, his main social component will still have to be approved in the Senate, where he risks significant revision.

Its fate, in particular, is in the hands of an elected official from West Virginia, Senator Joe Manchin, who says he fears the plan will further expand public debt and fuel inflation.

In light of the weak Democratic majority in the Senate, he has a veto on the project.

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