More than four million people were on the NHS waiting list before the epidemic (Image: PA images)
Health Secretary Sajid Javed made headlines last month, saying officials said the waiting list could reach 13 million.
The Financial Research Institute today warns that the figure is “within possible limits” and shows how the situation has worsened in the locked months.
The report comes as BMA warned NHS staff it was ‘tired and down’. The Royal College of Nursing also says there is “unprecedented levels of fatigue.”
According to the IFS, the number of people waiting for treatment may increase beyond fear. He says the end result will depend on the NHS ‘ability to “expand its capacity and treat more patients than it was before the epidemic.”
Dealing with millions of people who go unnoticed and are now expected to come forward is a big challenge. The IFS fears that the NHS may be “paralyzed by infection control measures and continued treatment of a large number of Covit-19 patients.”
Describing the scale of the challenge, the report says: “The number of people on the waiting list has increased by about 900,000 since the outbreak began and is now 5.3 million – the highest level since the current definition was introduced.
The think tank says there has been a “200-fold increase” in the number of people waiting more than a year for their care from pre-infectious stages. His report describes that in February last year, only about 1,600 people waited 12 months or more; In May of this year, the number reached 436,000.
Seven million fewer people joined the waiting list between March 2020 and May 2021 than expected under normal circumstances. An important question is how many of these “missing” patients will now come forward for treatment.
If two-thirds of missing patients return, the waiting lists will “easily cross 13 million” and “continue to grow,” IFS says.
Max Warner, the author of the analysis, said: “More than four million people were on the NHS waiting list before the epidemic. Covit-19 made things worse because millions of people lost treatment and millions were not even put on the waiting list.
“In the aftermath of a major epidemic, there is a real risk that the NHS will not be able to find effective ways to maximize its potential.”
Health Secretary Sajid Javed (Picture: PA Pictures)
Patricia Marquis, director of the Royal College of Nursing in the UK, said: “These figures confirm the enormous task of facing health and care services recovering from the epidemic.
“If the waiting list crisis is to be tackled by the health secretary, he must start by investing in the workplace, which will demonstrate the value of a significant pay rise and help retain experienced nurses who will not lose health care to meet this challenge.
The Association of Doctors, BMA Council President Dr. Chand Nagpal warned: The waiting list for care and the growing backlog has a large number of registered and unwanted patients … [The] The health service could not magically increase its capacity and could not “treat more patients than Kovid had before”.
“We have a severe labor shortage: the number of doctors per 1,000 people in the UK is 25 years behind comparable countries in the EU, which means the country needs nearly 50,000 more doctors to meet its current health challenges.
“At the end of the day, the government must be honest with the public about the scale of the problem and how long it will take to resolve the pending issue.”
Labor shadow health secretary Jonathan Ashworth said: “This analysis should be a warning call to ministers. It is no longer acceptable for many patients to wait in pain and suffering for life-saving treatment, including cancer care.” Hundreds of thousands of people have been waiting for surgery for more than a year, and some for more than two years Risking long-term health. Many years of funding and health cuts have already left our NHS with skyrocketing waiting lists before the outbreak.
“In light of these warnings, the long-term bailout is now urgently needed to provide the NHS with the necessary resources and staff to reduce waiting lists and reduce waiting times for treatment.”
A spokesman for the Department of Health and Social Affairs said, “Our NHS has overcome significant challenges throughout this global epidemic, and we support the health service with $ 6.6 billion to help recover from Covid-19.
“This includes a முதல 1 billion investment to overcome this year’s setbacks and reduce waiting lists, including increasing capacity. The NHS is exploring innovative ways to accelerate selective recovery and move hospitals faster.
“We will continue to support the NHS in providing people with the appointments, activities and treatments they need.”
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