Air traffic continues to recover, consultant OAG, who is working on airline seat capabilities . analyzes. This is over 2021 down 35% Compared to December 2019. That is, 5.7 billion seats compared to 8.7 billion at the end of 2019. But on the other hand, Recovery is confirmed, particularly with a strong increase in capacity during the second half of last year. the Reopening of the European Union In May / June then those from The United States, Canada, Gulf countries, Singapore and Thailand reflected in the presentation.
At the beginning of 2022, OAG says Omicron variable is not reflected in airline business. Even if the advisor believes that supply should go down in the short term, or even go down. for the whole month of January, OAG calculated more than 366 million available seats compared to 246.5 million a year ago. However, this number does not take into account last-minute cancellations. Cancellations that multiply with the spread of the Omicron variable among air personnel.
Europe influenced by Omicron
If we compare the first week of January 2022 with the week of January 2020, the top performers in terms of capacity/seats are Mexico (+5.4%), Russia (-1.1%) and Spain (-7.1%). With a 27.3% drop in seats, France does slightly better than Germany or the UK. But it shows a much weaker performance than the global average of -22.2% (January 2022/2020). Europe remains one of the countries hardest hit by the drop in capacity at the start of the year. Blame the border closures due to the Omicron variable.
Only Northeast Asia works less With a 31.1% decrease in capacitance at Japan and 55.6% of Korea. Thus the latter country shows the worst performance in the world.
If we look at the evolution Compared to the first week of January 2021, we can see a significant recovery. Even Europe is seeing the biggest increases in its capacity. Germany leads with +183.2%, UK +176.2% and Spain +136%. France also recorded an increase in the number of seats, but it was less. Airline capacity in France increased by 88.2% compared to the beginning of 2021.
somewhere else in the world, Singapore records best year-over-year performance with 125.1% additional capacity In the first week of January. However, compared to January 2020, the OAG still notes a decrease of approximately 72% in the air supply to and from the island nation.
Change in the total seat width compared to the week of 01/03/2022
|Spain||– 7.1%||+ 136.0%|
|United kingdom||-30.0%||+ 176.2%|
|United State||– 9.8%||+ 57.1%|
|Mexico||+ 5,4%||+ 37.7%|
|South Korea||-55.6%||+ 2.6%|
|Africa and the Middle East|
|South Africa||-44.2%||+ 13.9%|
|The United Arab Emirates||-25.3%||+ 92.1%|
For OAG, the effect of Omicron can be felt in February. But it should be short-lived according to the schedules offered by the airlines. For February 2022, the carrier’s program expects a capacity of 351.7 million seats, just below January. But it includes 28 days in a month. However, capacity should jump in March with 406.2 million seats.
|Lines with the largest seating capacity (December 2021)|
|LHR-New York JFK Launderer||222890|
|Dubai – Istanbul||093137|
|New York JFK-Paris CDG||534 136|
|Istanbul – Tehran||133320|
|Paris CDG – Dubai||123 519|
|Dublin Londres LHR||123 024|
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